Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 68.230639 77.039498 86.063631 95.967222 106.499117 117.335251 129.297687
2025-07-27 54.222318 66.789214 80.269324 95.670964 112.654526 130.695764 151.196963
2025-08-03 45.336059 59.821921 75.917928 94.853314 116.263702 139.494236 166.385179
2025-08-10 39.339533 55.237698 73.459215 95.428615 120.780457 148.750173 181.590095
2025-08-17 33.864044 50.599814 70.370530 94.763903 123.438574 155.545140 193.709406
2025-08-24 29.775051 47.196126 68.361744 95.019713 126.863828 162.969122 206.329412
2025-08-31 25.705067 43.402366 65.542642 94.013106 128.562524 168.210160 216.289093
2025-09-07 23.194787 41.391803 64.734790 95.271754 132.803469 176.287065 229.419396
2025-09-14 21.131883 39.781640 64.279043 96.835550 137.309965 184.601511 242.771890
2025-09-21 18.408545 36.987660 62.090398 96.064005 138.849789 189.314967 251.844154
2025-09-28 15.544400 33.699237 59.026531 93.994060 138.644868 191.834059 258.240542
2025-10-05 14.863358 33.632490 60.282121 97.469504 145.300786 202.571688 274.353077
2025-10-12 13.723062 32.770835 60.410687 99.479112 150.165623 211.223138 288.099824
2025-10-19 11.959390 30.731315 58.768701 99.061977 151.912697 216.060767 297.286520
2025-10-26 10.280996 28.636904 56.910919 98.246159 153.067062 220.110879 305.478977
2025-11-02 9.141016 27.344282 56.135194 98.830240 155.968835 226.274159 316.196200
2025-11-09 7.820184 25.552418 54.503211 98.152405 157.173850 230.296775 324.291491
2025-11-16 6.846890 24.288616 53.591199 98.413379 159.558707 235.754888 334.112191
2025-11-23 5.720936 22.544338 51.822875 97.386120 160.188597 238.978472 341.175407
2025-11-30 5.142363 21.866964 51.699946 98.670589 163.860517 246.009386 352.900102
2025-12-07 4.669385 21.355285 51.808862 100.266269 167.935704 253.545962 365.251757
2025-12-14 3.864841 19.925267 50.320932 99.479021 168.771138 256.954461 372.497393
2025-12-21 2.980529 18.072469 47.995588 97.366681 167.746520 257.946992 376.714931